Senegal are most likely to win the 2024 African Cup of Nations title; artificial intelligence has prediction model Opta has predicted.
Senegal, who remained the highest ranked team in the continent for a year running, won the last tournament in Cameroon beating Egypt in the final game. Winning in Cote d’ Ivoire will make them the fourth team to win back to back titles in the continent.
The prediction model uses betting market odds and Opta’s team rankings to assess the probability of each match outcome, victory, draw, or defeat, to provide a more comprehensive picture of who will win the delayed 2023 AFCON.
The odds and rankings are determined based on past and present team performances.
Using match result probability, group composition, and possible knockout round match-ups, the model then takes opponent strength and the difficulties of their route to the final into account.
Senegal is the most likely winner according to the model, with a 12.8% chance, just ahead of hosts Ivory Coast (12.1%), who are attempting to win the trophy for a third time, after 1992 and 2015,
Morocco (11.1%) is given the third-best chance of winning by the predictor model. Algeria (9.7%) is the fourth-most likely winner, with Egypt fifth (8.5%) to round off the top five.
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